Polymarket market · Esports

Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner

Resolved: Natus Vincere won · See it on Polymarket ↗

23 whales put $86K into this market since Sep 20, 88% of their buying on Natus Vincere. Natus Vincere won. Of the 18 whales whose whole position we captured, 15 made +$36K and 3 lost −$4.9K: +$31K between them.

The whales on this market

23 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Straight-Eveningwear-Gerbil
103 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $33K —
Happy-Go-Lucky-Nestling
193 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 49¢ $7.0K — +$7.3K
Itchy-Citron
92 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 49¢ $6.1K — +$6.3K
Roasted-Complement
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 50¢ $2.0K $3.2K +$1.2K
Safe-Weight
101 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 45¢ $3.1K — +$3.7K
Oily-Bowtie
62 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 45¢ $3.0K — +$3.7K
Straight-Recipient
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.0K —
Yellowish-Macadamia-Heroine
67 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $2.7K —
Female-Baker-Teenager
115 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 50¢ $2.5K — +$2.5K
Tedious-Pagan
346 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 50¢ $2.0K — +$2.0K
Nervous-Parallelogram
346 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 50¢ $2.0K — +$2.0K
Insistent-Catalogue
154 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora @ 62¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Worthless-Researcher
68 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora @ 63¢ $1.9K — −$1.9K
Fat-Diaper
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 68¢ $1.7K — +$819
Hard-Wrong
93 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 50¢ $1.5K — +$1.5K
Honored-Cot
75 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 48¢ $1.5K — +$1.6K
Embellished-Reciprocity
9 settled bets Too few bets
Natus Vincere @ 95¢ $1.4K — +$76
Turbulent-Grandmom
11 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Functional-Papaya
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 50¢ $1.2K — +$1.1K
Grounded-Pantologist-Income
115 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.1K —
Vigorous-Normalisation-Documentary
28 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 50¢ $1.1K — +$1.1K
Blue-Refuse
92 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aurora @ 52¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Worst-Analogue
366 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Natus Vincere @ 50¢ $1.0K — +$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Natus Vincere won
    $37K
    88% of whale buying · 15 buyers · $44K sold
  2. Aurora lost
    $4.9K
    12% of whale buying · 3 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 20, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed