Embellished-Reciprocity
0x83e495358aafeb5b777b5a91bd29840be569bd22
Embellished-Reciprocity: +$1.2K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 44% (95% range 19%–73%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$1.2K
return +24.7%
Settled bets
9
$4.8K staked
Won
44.4%
95% range 19%–73%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$285
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- +$910
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20 | BUY Natus Vincere
@ 95¢
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Aurora vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | $1.4K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Conventus Stellarum
@ 74¢
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage |
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | $1.1K |
| Sep 20 | SELL Xtreme Gaming
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner | $1.1K |
| Sep 19 | SELL Team Yandex
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner | $4.0K |
| Sep 19 | SELL PlayTime
@ 71¢
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage |
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | $1.9K |
| Sep 19 | SELL PlayTime
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Conventus Stellarum
@ 50¢
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner | $1.0K |
| Aug 20 | SELL Team Yandex
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner | $2.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.