Polymarket market · Other
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
Resolved: TheMongolz won · See it on Polymarket ↗
15 whales traded $55K on this market since Oct 23, 53% of their buying on Aurora Gaming. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 1.4¢ less per share, with 94% of the size there to buy. TheMongolz won, with 43% of the whale buying on it. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 4 made +$14K and 6 lost −$20K: −$6.2K between them. Biggest win: Stylish-Pattypan, +$10K on TheMongolz. Biggest loss: Steel-Bull, −$6.8K on Aurora Gaming.
The whales on this market
15 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Plump-Protest-Foreigner
1 settled bets Too few bets |
TheMongolz @ 96¢ | $5.0K | $5.2K | +$230 |
| Wrathful-Row
245 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
TheMongolz @ 90¢ | $1.1K | $6.2K | — |
| Steel-Bull
102 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Aurora Gaming @ 70¢ | $6.8K | — | −$6.8K |
| Proper-Chair-Songbird
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Aurora Gaming @ 58¢ | $5.9K | — | −$5.9K |
| Stylish-Pattypan
195 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
TheMongolz @ 31¢ | $4.6K | — | +$10K |
| Delicious-Attacker
580 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Aurora Gaming @ 74¢ | $4.5K | — | −$2.1K |
| Sticky-Raincoat-Formal
7 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.1K | — |
| Writhing-Round
48 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Aurora Gaming @ 72¢ | $2.2K | — | −$2.2K |
| Acceptable-Weather
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Aurora Gaming @ 22¢ | $1.9K | — | −$1.9K |
| Faithful-Loophole
8 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.7K | — |
| Dismal-Sousaphone
6 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K | — |
| Illustrious-Pinecone
262 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.4K | — |
| Cluttered-Cart-Autoimmunity
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
TheMongolz @ 43¢ | $1.3K | — | −$1.3K |
| Pessimistic-Cob-Literate
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
TheMongolz @ 91¢ | $1.2K | — | +$116 |
| That-Newspaper
11 settled bets Too few bets |
TheMongolz @ 27¢ | $1.2K | — | +$3.2K |
Where the whale money went
-
Aurora Gaming lost$19K53% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $3.1K sold
-
TheMongolz won$15K43% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $16K sold
-
TheMongolz lost$1.3K4% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 23 to Oct 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792911646).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | $186K | 25 | Open | |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | $92K | 13 | Open | |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | $147K | 12 | Won: Liquid | |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | $73K | 20 | Open | |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | $160K | 45 | Open | |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage | $148K | 31 | Won: BetBoom Team | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | $94K | 18 | Open | |
| Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-24? | $60K | 10 | Won: Yes |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?