Polymarket market · Other

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage

Resolved: Liquid won · See it on Polymarket ↗

12 whales traded $147K on this market since Oct 23, 91% of their buying on MOUZ. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 4.3¢ less per share, with 95% of the size there to buy. Liquid won, with 9% of the whale buying on it. Of the 7 whales whose whole position we captured, 2 made +$2.6K and 5 lost −$32K: −$30K between them. Biggest win: Discrete-Century, +$2.5K on Liquid. Biggest loss: Rosy-Trinket, −$18K on MOUZ.

The whales on this market

12 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Quixotic-Brow
212 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $101K —
Rosy-Trinket
130 settled bets Can't tell from luck
MOUZ @ 85¢ $18K — −$18K
Runny-Wait-Gynaecology
96 settled bets Can't tell from luck
MOUZ @ 84¢ $8.3K — −$8.3K
Vigilant-Forever
41 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $4.5K —
Creamy-Bridge
11 settled bets Too few bets
Liquid @ 93¢ $1.4K $1.5K +$103
Scary-Edible
1,571 settled bets Can't tell from luck
MOUZ @ 47¢ $2.3K — −$2.3K
0x9a0c…370e
4 settled bets Too few bets
MOUZ @ 71¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Aged-Laughter
16 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.0K —
Discrete-Century
115 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Liquid @ 42¢ $1.8K — +$2.5K
Dismal-Sousaphone
6 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.4K —
Glittering-Delivery
11 settled bets Too few bets
MOUZ @ 60¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Peppery-Top-Garment
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —

Where the whale money went

  1. MOUZ lost
    $32K
    91% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $1.1K sold
  2. Liquid won
    $3.2K
    9% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $111K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 23 to Oct 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792911646).

About this data · run 1792911646, computed 2026-10-25 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792911646 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed