Sticky-Raincoat-Formal
0x606d5cf1a85aa3aff3f62d195c1fb9b0664ed6cd
Sticky-Raincoat-Formal: −$9 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$9
return −0.2%
Settled bets
4
$5.4K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 15%–85%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$9
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | SELL FURIA Esports
@ 91¢
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports - Game 4 Winner | $2.8K |
| Oct 10 | BUY FURIA Esports
@ 66¢
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: LOS vs FURIA Esports - Game 4 Winner | $2.0K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Vitality
@ 48¢
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) | $1.5K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Movistar KOI Fénix
@ 89¢
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates - Game 4 Winner |
LoL: Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates - Game 4 Winner | $1.3K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Yes
@ 62¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | $1.0K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Yes
@ 62¢
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | $1.1K |
| Sep 26 | BUY LYON
@ 68¢
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) |
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) | $1.9K |
| Sep 26 | SELL Yes
@ 61¢
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.