Plump-Protest-Foreigner
Skill vs luck
Plump-Protest-Foreigner on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 100% (95% range 21%–100%) · profit +$230. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Plump-Protest-Foreigner: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x4383946d65ef79c5292be4ea46e08fc39fa72dcf. Data CC BY 4.0.
Plump-Protest-Foreigner: +$230 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- +$230
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | BUY
@ 53¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage AND LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage AND LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | $5.2K |
| Oct 24 | SELL TheMongolz @ 99.9¢ | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage ↗ | $5.2K |
| Oct 24 | BUY TheMongolz @ 96¢ | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage ↗ | $5.0K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?