Pessimistic-Cob-Literate
0x4adfcd8a00ca2319c20f26e00edba33bdf13d623
Pessimistic-Cob-Literate: −$2.0K on 13 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 39% (95% range 18%–65%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$2.0K
return −19.0%
Settled bets
13
$11K staked
Won
38.5%
95% range 18%–65%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 3
- +$1.0K
- Sep 3 – Sep 17
- −$2
- Oct 1 – Oct 15
- −$3.0K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −4.5%
(2,043 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14 | BUY FURIA
@ 68¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner | $1.2K |
| Oct 14 | SELL FURIA
@ 69¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B | $1.6K |
| Oct 11 | BUY Over
@ 72¢
Games Total: O/U 3.5 |
Games Total: O/U 3.5 | $1.6K |
| Oct 11 | BUY MOUZ
@ 79¢
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5) |
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5) | $1.6K |
| Oct 9 | SELL MOUZ
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | $1.2K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Spirit
@ 83¢
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs ShindeN - Map 2 Winner | $1.4K |
| Sep 4 | SELL FURIA
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner | $1.7K |
| Aug 22 | SELL Spirit
@ 81¢
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | $1.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.