Faithful-Loophole
Skill vs luck
Faithful-Loophole on Polymarket: 8 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–32%) · profit −$11. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Faithful-Loophole: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x59847267e2a004e3886d7a02ac53778c5ea176eb. Data CC BY 4.0.
Faithful-Loophole: −$11 on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–32%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 5
- −$1
- Sep 5 – Sep 22
- −$3
- Sep 22 – Oct 8
- −$4
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- −$3
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | SELL TheMongolz @ 99.9¢ | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage ↗ | $1.7K |
| Oct 9 | SELL 1win
@ 99.9¢
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5) |
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs 1win (+1.5) | $1.4K |
| Oct 6 | SELL mellren
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: mellren vs Gothic (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B |
Counter-Strike: mellren vs Gothic (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group B | $1.3K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Team Spirit @ 99.9¢ | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 2 | SELL OG
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C |
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C | $1.4K |
| Sep 17 | SELL Misa Esports
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Group B |
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 9 Group B | $1.1K |
| Sep 12 | SELL Misa Esports
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs | $1.5K |
| Sep 1 | SELL HAVU
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #8 Play-In |
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #8 Play-In | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?