Polymarket market · Other

West Virginia vs. Virginia

Resolved: West Virginia won · See it on Polymarket ↗

12 whales put $84K into this market since Sep 19, 66% of their buying on Virginia. West Virginia won. Of the 12 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$42K and 6 lost −$47K: −$4.3K between them.

The whales on this market

12 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Unwieldy-Supporter
432 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Virginia @ 52¢ $19K — −$8.9K
Fake-Bitter
995 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Virginia @ 79¢ $14K — −$14K
Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds*
Virginia @ 50¢ $11K — −$8.3K
Shoddy-Harmonise
68 settled bets Can't tell from luck
West Virginia @ 31¢ $11K — +$24K
Scary-Edible
1,330 settled bets Beat the odds*
West Virginia @ 35¢ $7.6K — +$6.4K
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
951 settled bets Beat the odds*
Virginia @ 79¢ $6.5K — −$6.5K
Adolescent-Style-Brief
62 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Virginia @ 79¢ $5.0K — −$5.0K
Happy-Go-Lucky-Physical-Knifeedge
86 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Virginia @ 35¢ $4.5K — −$4.5K
Expert-Giant
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
West Virginia @ 21¢ $2.0K — +$7.5K
Mindless-Monopoly
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
West Virginia @ 49¢ $1.2K — +$1.2K
Colossal-Dump
19 settled bets Too few bets
West Virginia @ 49¢ $1.1K — +$1.2K
Glaring-Salt
1,449 settled bets Can't tell from luck
West Virginia @ 35¢ $1.1K — +$2.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Virginia lost
    $55K
    66% of whale buying · 7 buyers
  2. West Virginia won
    $27K
    33% of whale buying · 8 buyers
  3. West Virginia lost
    $1.1K
    1% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 19 to Sep 20, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed