Polymarket market · Other

James Madison vs. San Diego State: O/U 46.5

Resolved: Under won · See it on Polymarket ↗

5 whales put $137K into this market since Sep 19, 73% of their buying on Over. Under won. Of the 4 whales whose whole position we captured, 2 made +$36K and 2 lost −$99K: −$63K between them.

The whales on this market

5 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Mountainous-Heat-Reservoir
104 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 50¢ $97K — −$97K
Unwieldy-Supporter
432 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 50¢ $25K — +$25K
Taut-Semicolon
156 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Under @ 52¢ $12K — +$11K
Creepy-Forage
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Over @ 50¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Frozen-Registry
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —

Where the whale money went

  1. Over lost
    $99K
    73% of whale buying · 2 buyers
  2. Under won
    $37K
    27% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $1.1K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 19 to Sep 20, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed