Mindless-Monopoly
0x86c878cde72660ec52f5e6f0f0438b76de8fc867
Mindless-Monopoly: +$1.3K on 14 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 79% (95% range 52%–92%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$1.3K
return +5.2%
Settled bets
14
$25K staked
Won
78.6%
95% range 52%–92%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 14 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$1.3K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$1.2K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$1.4K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | BUY Calvin Hemery
@ 89¢
M25 Kigali: Benjamin Lock vs Calvin Hemery |
M25 Kigali: Benjamin Lock vs Calvin Hemery | $1.0K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Over
@ 39¢
Patriots vs. Jaguars: O/U 42.5 |
Patriots vs. Jaguars: O/U 42.5 | $1.2K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Anna Rogers
@ 84¢
W50 Berkeley, CA: Yara Bartashevich vs Anna Rogers |
W50 Berkeley, CA: Yara Bartashevich vs Anna Rogers | $2.5K |
| Sep 24 | BUY ALKA
@ 41¢
Map Handicap: Keyd (-1.5) vs ALKA (+1.5) |
Map Handicap: Keyd (-1.5) vs ALKA (+1.5) | $1.0K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Angela Fita Boluda
@ 88¢
W50 Yecla: Sofia Camila Rojas vs Angela Fita Boluda |
W50 Yecla: Sofia Camila Rojas vs Angela Fita Boluda | $3.1K |
| Sep 20 | BUY West Virginia
@ 49¢
West Virginia vs. Virginia |
West Virginia vs. Virginia | $1.2K |
| Aug 31 | BUY Ignacio Parisca Romera
@ 98¢
Plovdiv 3: Amit Vales vs Ignacio Parisca Romera |
Plovdiv 3: Amit Vales vs Ignacio Parisca Romera | $3.0K |
| Aug 31 | BUY Petra Marcinko
@ 74¢
US Open WTA: Kimberly Birrell vs Petra Marcinko |
US Open WTA: Kimberly Birrell vs Petra Marcinko | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.