Ill-Graft
0x20f4cab4a053fab360c05cd9300df9d678f715e1
Ill-Graft: +$12K on 19 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 84% (95% range 62%–95%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$12K
return +6.1%
Settled bets
19
$199K staked
Won
84.2%
95% range 62%–95%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 17 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$5.9K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$6.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28 | BUY Arthur Fils
@ 82¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Arthur Fils vs Martin Damm |
Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Arthur Fils vs Martin Damm | $17K |
| Sep 27 | BUY No
@ 89¢
Will Serbia win on 2026-09-27? |
Will Serbia win on 2026-09-27? | $20K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
@ 91¢
Chengdu Open: Alexandre Muller vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina |
Chengdu Open: Alexandre Muller vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | $2.0K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
@ 91¢
Chengdu Open: Alexandre Muller vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina |
Chengdu Open: Alexandre Muller vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | $5.5K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Mississippi State
@ 85¢
Missouri vs. Mississippi State |
Missouri vs. Mississippi State | $4.4K |
| Sep 27 | BUY San Diego Padres
@ 95¢
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres |
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres | $9.9K |
| Sep 27 | BUY San Diego Padres
@ 96¢
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres |
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres | $2.4K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Yazmin Jauregui
@ 89¢
UFC Fight Night: Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Yazmin Jauregui (Women's Strawweight, Prelims) |
UFC Fight Night: Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Yazmin Jauregui (Women's Strawweight, Prelims) | $18K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.