Polymarket market · Other
Indiana vs. Michigan
Resolved: Indiana won · See it on Polymarket ↗
17 whales traded $185K on this market since Oct 24, 72% of their buying on Michigan. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 9.0¢ more per share, with 95% of the size there to buy. Indiana won, with 27% of the whale buying on it. Of the 12 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$12K and 7 lost −$112K: −$100K between them. Biggest win: Grown-Difference-Burnout, +$8.5K on Indiana. Biggest loss: Shoddy-Harmonise, −$60K on Michigan.
The whales on this market
17 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shoddy-Harmonise
117 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Michigan @ 45¢ | $60K | — | −$60K |
| Grown-Difference-Burnout
336 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Indiana @ 72¢ | $34K | — | +$8.5K |
| Glaring-Salt
2,044 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Michigan @ 45¢ | $25K | — | −$25K |
| 0x6db5…e279
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Michigan @ 22¢ | $18K | — | −$18K |
| Wonderful-Patio
76 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $17K | — |
| Imaginary-Gallery
340 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Indiana @ 80¢ | $4.8K | — | +$1.2K |
| Frightened-Subsidence
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Michigan @ 21¢ | $4.4K | — | −$4.4K |
| Noisy-Word
43 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Indiana @ 79¢ | $4.0K | — | +$1.1K |
| Sane-Pliers
3 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $3.2K | — |
| Mysterious-Ligula
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Indiana @ 87¢ | $3.2K | — | +$484 |
| Another-Catastrophe
12 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.2K | — |
| Shiny-Advertisement
24 settled bets Too few bets |
Michigan @ 58¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | — |
| Rotating-Beard
3 settled bets Too few bets |
Michigan @ 28¢ | $1.6K | — | −$1.6K |
| Key-Capability
70 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Indiana @ 66¢ | $1.5K | — | −$1.5K |
| Low-Cartload
10 settled bets Too few bets |
Indiana @ 77¢ | $1.3K | — | +$394 |
| Idealistic-Octagon
1 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
| Scary-Fannypack
226 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Michigan @ 30¢ | $1.1K | — | −$1.1K |
Where the whale money went
-
Michigan lost$115K72% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $1.1K sold
-
Indiana won$44K27% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $24K sold
-
Indiana lost$1.5K1% of whale buying · 1 buyer
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792911646).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LSU vs. Auburn | $578K | 11 | Won: LSU | |
| Spread: Florida Atlantic (-8.5) | $66K | 4 | Won: Rice | |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. RC Deportivo A Coruña: O/U 0.5 | $168K | 7 | Won: Over | |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | $65K | 22 | Won: Natus Vincere | |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | $198K | 19 | Open | |
| Miami (OH) vs. Central Michigan | $78K | 5 | Won: Miami (OH) | |
| Baylor vs. Kansas | $79K | 10 | Won: Kansas | |
| Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5) | $164K | 8 | Won: Parma Calcio 1913 |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?