Sane-Pliers
Skill vs luck
Sane-Pliers on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 33% (95% range 6%–79%) · profit +$136. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.9% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 25, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Sane-Pliers: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xffb3df819a2c233db1464577910d3fe86daf081e. Data CC BY 4.0.
Sane-Pliers: +$136 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 22 – Oct 8
- −$3
- Oct 8 – Oct 25
- +$139
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24 | SELL Indiana @ 99.9¢ | Indiana vs. Michigan ↗ | $3.2K |
| Oct 20 | BUY No
@ 92¢
Will AS Roma vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava end in a draw? |
Will AS Roma vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava end in a draw? | $1.6K |
| Sep 24 | SELL No
@ 99.9¢
Will Denmark win on 2026-09-24? |
Will Denmark win on 2026-09-24? | $2.9K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?