Another-Catastrophe

0x43e0f84fe8fb4623a5ff485fe9f7bc0f4b458618

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Another-Catastrophe: +$528 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 23%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$528
return +11.2%
Settled bets
5
$4.7K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 23%–88%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$6
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$502
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$31
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 1 BUY No @ 98¢
Will Czechia win on 2026-10-03?
Will Czechia win on 2026-10-03? $1.3K
Sep 13 BUY No @ 87¢
Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?
Will Stade Brestois 29 vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? $2.4K
Sep 12 BUY Ben Shelton @ 88¢
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton $1.1K
Aug 25 SELL No @ 99.9¢
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-08-25?
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-08-25? $2.9K
Aug 22 SELL Stan Dorsainvil @ 99.9¢
UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims)
UFC Fight Night: Gauge Young vs. Stan Dorsainvil (Lightweight, Prelims) $3.1K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed