Suspicious-Treatment

0xcc9218c5a8a154458ef10c05aa742a5f225e649d

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Suspicious-Treatment: +$13K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 29% (95% range 8%–64%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$13K
return +432.3%
Settled bets
7
$3.0K staked
Won
28.6%
95% range 8%–64%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$2
Sep 6 – Sep 23
−$62
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$13K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 2 SELL North Texas @ 79¢
North Texas vs. Tulsa
North Texas vs. Tulsa $1.0K
Sep 28 SELL Matteo Martineau @ 74¢
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau
Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Clement Tabur vs Matteo Martineau $13K
Sep 23 SELL Federico Agustin Gomez @ 99.9¢
San Diego 2: Trevor Svajda vs Federico Agustin Gomez
San Diego 2: Trevor Svajda vs Federico Agustin Gomez $1.6K
Sep 22 SELL Mayu Crossley @ 99.9¢
W50 Berkeley, CA: Mayu Crossley vs McKenna Schaefbauer
W50 Berkeley, CA: Mayu Crossley vs McKenna Schaefbauer $2.1K
Sep 16 BUY Philip Sekulic @ 34¢
Phan Thiet 4: Kenta Miyoshi vs Philip Sekulic
Phan Thiet 4: Kenta Miyoshi vs Philip Sekulic $1.0K
Sep 15 BUY Stefan Kozlov @ 30¢
Tiburon: Darwin Blanch vs Stefan Kozlov
Tiburon: Darwin Blanch vs Stefan Kozlov $2.0K
Aug 26 SELL Lucie Havlickova @ 99.9¢
US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Havlickova
US Open, Qualification WTA: Moyuka Uchijima vs Lucie Havlickova $2.0K

All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed