Huge-Cement-Shift
Skill vs luck
Huge-Cement-Shift on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 67% (95% range 21%–94%) · profit −$39. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Huge-Cement-Shift: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x2dc021439a8dc8f7c845cc64c5563b7ba53970a0. Data CC BY 4.0.
Huge-Cement-Shift: −$39 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- −$39
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | BUY Yes @ 97¢ | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25? ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 16 | SELL No
@ 94¢
Will IF Brommapojkarna win on 2026-10-16? |
Will IF Brommapojkarna win on 2026-10-16? | $2.0K |
| Oct 14 | BUY No
@ 96¢
Will LASK Linz win on 2026-10-14? |
Will LASK Linz win on 2026-10-14? | $1.4K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?