Polymarket market · Sports

US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse

Resolved: Ignacio Buse won · See it on Polymarket ↗

40 whales put $441K into this market since Sep 1, 51% of their buying on Marcos Giron. Ignacio Buse won. Of the 28 whales whose whole position we captured, 14 made +$22K and 13 lost −$156K: −$133K between them.

The whales on this market

biggest 25 of 40
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Imperturbable-Benefit-Bartender
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Marcos Giron @ 44¢ $89K — −$89K
Agitated-Bricklaying
493 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Marcos Giron @ 52¢ $77K — −$31K
Rash-Copying
124 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ignacio Buse @ 47¢ $10K $51K —
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,072 settled bets Beat the odds*
Ignacio Buse @ 62¢ $25K — −$4.8K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,484 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ignacio Buse @ 61¢ $23K — −$2.4K
Overcooked-Enthusiasm
16 settled bets Beat the odds*
Ignacio Buse @ 60¢ $6.0K $13K —
Favorable-Neuron
119 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ignacio Buse @ 85¢ $9.0K $7.2K −$1.8K
Lovable-Triumph-Mom
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ignacio Buse @ 60¢ $15K — +$322
Grounded-Digestive
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ignacio Buse @ 84¢ $11K — +$2.0K
Nutty-Rooster-Colonialism
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Marcos Giron @ 55¢ $10K — −$10K
Fake-Cloakroom
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ignacio Buse @ 74¢ $7.4K — +$2.6K
Ajar-Thief-Rooster
83 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Marcos Giron @ 41¢ $7.0K — −$7.0K
Usable-Manufacturing
54 settled bets Worse than the odds
Ignacio Buse @ 90¢ $6.8K — +$754
Shameful-Delay
119 settled bets Worse than the odds
Ignacio Buse @ 83¢ $2.4K $3.5K —
Pushy-Tractor
8 settled bets Too few bets
Ignacio Buse @ 99.9¢ $2.7K $2.7K $0
Horrible-Enthusiasm
7 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $5.3K —
Adolescent-Apse
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ignacio Buse @ 74¢ $5.2K — +$1.8K
Neighboring-Bunkhouse
75 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ignacio Buse @ 74¢ $5.1K — +$1.8K
Lazy-Act-Availability
7 settled bets Too few bets
Ignacio Buse @ 52¢ $1.8K $2.8K —
Monstrous-Dew
371 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ignacio Buse @ 55¢ $1.8K $2.6K —
Past-Punishment
271 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $4.2K —
Zealous-Timpani
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Marcos Giron @ 41¢ $4.0K — −$4.0K
Black-And-White-Solitaire
124 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ignacio Buse @ 45¢ $3.6K — +$4.4K
0xa0f2…1848
136 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Ignacio Buse @ 57¢ $3.4K — +$2.6K
Humble-Woolens-Circumference
20 settled bets Too few bets
Ignacio Buse @ 62¢ $1.5K $1.5K −$13

Where the whale money went

  1. Marcos Giron lost
    $174K
    51% of whale buying · 12 buyers · $3.1K sold
  2. Ignacio Buse won
    $145K
    43% of whale buying · 25 buyers · $97K sold
  3. Ignacio Buse lost
    $22K
    7% of whale buying · 2 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 1 to Sep 2, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley $66K 15 Won: Tomas Etcheverry
US Open ATP: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng $130K 10 Won: Michael Zheng
Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5 $96K 9 Won: Under
Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies $247K 25 Won: Colorado Rockies
Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox $160K 10 Won: Seattle Mariners
US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally $73K 17 Won: Emma Navarro
US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche $77K 16 Won: Denis Shapovalov
Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5 $53K 6 Won: Over
About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed