Grounded-Digestive
0x898b4ce2037316badeaba718110f4ffb41c36c00
Grounded-Digestive: −$5.1K on 23 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 61% (95% range 41%–78%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$5.1K
return −4.8%
Settled bets
23
$107K staked
Won
60.9%
95% range 41%–78%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 23 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$6.2K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$3.2K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$4.3K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6 | BUY Over
@ 82¢
India vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5 |
India vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5 | $2.0K |
| Oct 3 | BUY USC
@ 51¢
Spread: USC (-9.5) |
Spread: USC (-9.5) | $1.0K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Commanders
@ 34¢
Seahawks vs. Commanders |
Seahawks vs. Commanders | $1.6K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Bengals
@ 42¢
Spread: Bengals (-5.5) |
Spread: Bengals (-5.5) | $5.5K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Columbia
@ 68¢
Columbia vs. Georgetown |
Columbia vs. Georgetown | $4.3K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Rams
@ 81¢
Giants vs. Rams |
Giants vs. Rams | $5.0K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Seahawks
@ 56¢
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) |
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) | $8.4K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Seahawks
@ 47¢
Spread: Seahawks (-10.5) |
Spread: Seahawks (-10.5) | $3.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.