Polymarket market · Sports
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe
Resolved: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won · See it on Polymarket ↗
25 whales traded $106K on this market since Oct 11, 55% of their buying on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 7.3¢ less per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won, with 55% of the whale buying on it. Of the 12 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$14K and 5 lost −$12K: +$2.4K between them. Biggest win: Snappy-Basketball, +$7.1K on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. Biggest loss: Ignorant-Shaw-Ego, −$3.5K on Frances Tiafoe.
The whales on this market
25 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Snappy-Basketball
296 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina @ 48¢ | $6.7K | $14K | +$7.1K |
| Trusting-Achievement-Priesthood
7 settled bets Too few bets |
Frances Tiafoe @ 81¢ | $4.3K | $7.1K | — |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,123 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina @ 53¢ | $10K | — | +$2.8K |
| Lost-Sage-Zootsuit
92 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Frances Tiafoe @ 57¢ | $7.9K | — | −$2.7K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,825 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina @ 45¢ | $7.5K | — | +$967 |
| Admired-Doubter
117 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina @ 47¢ | $2.8K | $2.5K | — |
| Coarse-Functionality
11 settled bets Too few bets |
Frances Tiafoe @ 31¢ | $1.0K | $3.4K | — |
| Unruly-Rocker
122 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $3.9K | — |
| Favorable-Neuron
125 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina @ 73¢ | $2.7K | $1.0K | — |
| Ignorant-Shaw-Ego
110 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Frances Tiafoe @ 56¢ | $3.5K | — | −$3.5K |
| Horrible-Recording
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina @ 53¢ | $1.3K | $2.1K | — |
| Thoughtful-Shallot
4 settled bets Too few bets |
Frances Tiafoe @ 60¢ | $3.0K | — | −$3.0K |
| Willing-Skiing
122 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina @ 53¢ | $1.5K | $1.3K | +$354 |
| Innocent-Grape
128 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.7K | — |
| Scratchy-Pianist
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.2K | — |
| Grateful-Chest
240 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina @ 48¢ | $1.9K | — | +$2.1K |
| Unwilling-Claim
5 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.7K | — |
| Loving-Hostel-Value
20 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.5K | — |
| Naughty-Tab
83 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.4K | — |
| Powerless-Savannah
2,506 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Frances Tiafoe @ 41¢ | $1.3K | — | −$1.3K |
| Skinny-Symmetry
2 settled bets Too few bets |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina @ 89¢ | $1.3K | — | +$155 |
| Scratchy-Function
1 settled bets Too few bets |
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina @ 71¢ | $1.2K | — | +$485 |
| Clever-Differential-Bathrobe
6 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
| Anxious-Shorts
25 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.0K | — |
| Anchored-Grit
47 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Frances Tiafoe @ 69¢ | $1.0K | — | −$1.0K |
Where the whale money went
-
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina won$33K55% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $35K sold
-
Frances Tiafoe lost$27K45% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $12K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 11, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1791874803).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-11? | $108K | 7 | Won: No | |
| Spread: Commanders (-3.5) | $161K | 9 | Won: Giants | |
| Texans vs. Titans: O/U 38.5 | $172K | 3 | Won: Under | |
| Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5 | $52K | 5 | Won: Over | |
| Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-11? | $401K | 10 | Won: No | |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11? | $154K | 10 | Won: No | |
| Spread: Jaguars (-7.5) | $728K | 8 | Won: Eagles | |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) | $94K | 8 | Won: Patriots |