Polymarket market · Sports

Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-11?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

10 whales traded $401K on this market since Oct 9, 93% of their buying on Yes. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 7 minutes later would have cost 1.8¢ more per share, with 99% of the size there to buy. No won, with 7% of the whale buying on it. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 2 made +$14K and 7 lost −$353K: −$339K between them. Biggest win: Hollow-Maggot-Sense, +$11K on No. Biggest loss: Busy-Wolf-Spectacle, −$298K on Yes.

The whales on this market

10 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Busy-Wolf-Spectacle
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 49¢ $298K — −$298K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,825 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 46¢ $40K — −$29K
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,123 settled bets Beat the odds*
No @ 54¢ $13K — +$11K
Open-Fingernail-Bullet
123 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 48¢ $12K — −$12K
Scornful-West
176 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $9.7K —
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,684 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 46¢ $8.4K — −$4.0K
Miserable-Poison
1,090 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 65¢ $7.6K — −$2.0K
Substantial-Service
792 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 49¢ $5.3K — −$5.3K
Unfolded-Saffron
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 54¢ $4.3K — +$3.7K
Unfinished-Reason
27 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 50¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes lost
    $363K
    93% of whale buying · 7 buyers
  2. No won
    $28K
    7% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $9.7K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 9 to Oct 11, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791874803).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-11? $108K 7 Won: No
Spread: Titans (-3.5) $66K 3 Won: Texans
China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Mirra Andreeva $131K 15 Won: Qinwen Zheng
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe $106K 25 Won: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Brandon Nakashima $92K 11 Won: Alexander Bublik
Spread: Commanders (-3.5) $161K 9 Won: Giants
Texans vs. Titans: O/U 38.5 $172K 3 Won: Under
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 0.5 $52K 5 Won: Over
About this data · run 1791874803, computed 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791874803 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed