Polymarket market · Sports

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Resolved: Felix Auger-Aliassime won · See it on Polymarket ↗

14 whales put $104K into this market since Oct 10, 98% of their buying on Felix Auger-Aliassime. Felix Auger-Aliassime won. Of the 11 whales whose whole position we captured, 10 made +$13K and 1 lost −$1.4K: +$11K between them.

The whales on this market

14 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Illustrious-Budget
57 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Felix Auger-Aliassime @ 80¢ $23K $29K +$5.7K
Hefty-Metabolite
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Felix Auger-Aliassime @ 99¢ $14K — +$184
Terrible-Chapel
49 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $12K —
Dimpled-Fishbone
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $6.6K —
Trusty-Scooter
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Felix Auger-Aliassime @ 64¢ $4.0K — +$2.2K
Zigzag-Aardvark
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Felix Auger-Aliassime @ 65¢ $3.3K — +$1.8K
Slow-Escape
336 settled bets Beat the odds*
Felix Auger-Aliassime @ 91¢ $2.7K — +$270
Powerless-Savannah
2,455 settled bets Beat the odds*
Felix Auger-Aliassime @ 69¢ $2.0K — +$906
Illustrious-Pinecone
173 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Felix Auger-Aliassime @ 88¢ $1.8K — +$240
Broken-Colleague
5 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,484 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Felix Auger-Aliassime @ 75¢ $1.5K — +$493
Warped-Scholar
144 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Camilo Ugo Carabelli @ 9¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Grateful-Chest
226 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Felix Auger-Aliassime @ 60¢ $1.2K — +$800
Naughty-Tab
78 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Felix Auger-Aliassime @ 97¢ $1.1K — +$34

Where the whale money went

  1. Felix Auger-Aliassime won
    $55K
    98% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $48K sold
  2. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost
    $1.4K
    3% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 10, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed