Polymarket market · Sports

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

Resolved: Stefanos Tsitsipas won · See it on Polymarket ↗

7 whales put $105K into this market since Oct 10, 86% of their buying on Stefanos Tsitsipas. Stefanos Tsitsipas won. Of the 6 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$4.4K and 1 lost −$14K: −$9.2K between them.

The whales on this market

7 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Lost-Sage-Zootsuit
84 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Stefanos Tsitsipas @ 98¢ $39K — +$802
Grave-Coconut
224 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Stefanos Tsitsipas @ 98¢ $22K — +$444
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Stefanos Tsitsipas @ 90¢ $18K — +$2.0K
Dry-Gather
31 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Stefanos Tsitsipas @ 68¢ $14K — −$14K
Terrible-Chapel
49 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $8.8K —
Secret-Evaluator
104 settled bets Beat the odds*
Stefanos Tsitsipas @ 84¢ $1.7K — +$321
Spiffy-Sample
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Stefanos Tsitsipas @ 68¢ $1.6K — +$768

Where the whale money went

  1. Stefanos Tsitsipas won
    $83K
    86% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $8.8K sold
  2. Stefanos Tsitsipas lost
    $14K
    14% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 10, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed