Polymarket market · Sports

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

16 whales put $60K into this market since Oct 9, 83% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 14 whales whose whole position we captured, 12 made +$23K and 2 lost −$8.0K: +$15K between them.

The whales on this market

16 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Opulent-Crawdad-Crumb
8 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 87¢ $11K — +$1.7K
Productive-Horn
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 55¢ $10K — +$8.1K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 34¢ $7.9K — −$7.9K
Ignorant-Shaw-Ego
100 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 48¢ $5.1K — +$5.5K
Pungent-Deficit
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $4.9K —
Clever-Differential-Bathrobe
5 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 68¢ $3.6K — +$1.7K
Eager-Fill
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 71¢ $3.0K — +$1.2K
Unlined-Observation
50 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 98¢ $2.4K — +$50
Spiteful-Banquette-Seal
72 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 53¢ $1.2K $1.0K −$122
Salty-Wording-Breadcrumb
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 48¢ $1.9K — +$2.1K
Big-Hearted-Scalp
12 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.7K —
Illustrious-Pinecone
173 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 64¢ $1.4K — +$796
Fake-Bitter
1,081 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 71¢ $1.3K — +$511
Muffled-Advertising
114 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 87¢ $1.2K — +$179
Substantial-Stock
9 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 70¢ $1.0K — +$447
Tattered-Homonym
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 68¢ $1.0K — +$471

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $43K
    83% of whale buying · 12 buyers · $6.6K sold
  2. No lost
    $9.0K
    17% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $1.0K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 9 to Oct 10, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed