Polymarket market · Sports

Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)

Resolved: Leeds United FC won · See it on Polymarket ↗

8 whales put $61K into this market since Oct 9, 88% of their buying on Arsenal FC. Leeds United FC won. Of the 8 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$3.8K and 5 lost −$54K: −$50K between them.

The whales on this market

8 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Ragged-Aspect-Earring
22 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arsenal FC @ 40¢ $30K — −$30K
Remote-Kingdom
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arsenal FC @ 42¢ $18K — −$18K
Miserable-Poison
1,032 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Leeds United FC @ 65¢ $3.4K — +$1.8K
Popular-Breath
5 settled bets Too few bets
Arsenal FC @ 42¢ $2.9K — −$2.9K
Fake-Bitter
1,081 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arsenal FC @ 41¢ $2.3K — −$2.3K
Questionable-Indicator
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Leeds United FC @ 58¢ $2.1K — +$1.5K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Leeds United FC @ 78¢ $1.6K — +$455
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,484 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arsenal FC @ 42¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Arsenal FC lost
    $54K
    88% of whale buying · 5 buyers
  2. Leeds United FC won
    $7.1K
    12% of whale buying · 3 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 9 to Oct 10, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed