Broken-Colleague

0xbc4b02cce84e077d3c852c23f28d20fdb0a7553b

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Broken-Colleague: +$304 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 20% (95% range 4%–62%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$304
return +11.7%
Settled bets
5
$2.6K staked
Won
20.0%
95% range 4%–62%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$304
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 10 SELL LOUD @ 99.9¢
Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs
Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs $1.8K
Oct 10 SELL Felix Auger-Aliassime @ 99.9¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime $1.5K
Oct 9 BUY Paper Rex @ 73¢
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs $1.0K
Oct 8 SELL Team Vitality @ 99.9¢
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner $1.4K
Oct 5 BUY Carlos Alcaraz @ 55¢
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jaume Munar $1.6K

All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed