Terrible-Chapel

0xc0a5ecceff48cd8f313cd658cdb609e8b5231f5f

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗
Profit
+$2.6K
return +11.5%
Settled bets
14
$23K staked
Won
71.4%
95% range 45%–88%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 12 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Sep 20 – Oct 5: +$2.6K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 7 Bought Mattia Bellucci at 77¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mattia Bellucci vs Yi Zhou
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mattia Bellucci vs Yi Zhou $1.5K
Oct 7 Bought Alex Molcan at 60¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina $1.0K
Oct 7 Bought Alex Molcan at 73¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex Molcan vs Federico Cina $4.0K
Oct 6 Bought Aliaksandra Sasnovich at 68¢
Suzhou: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Suzhou: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich $1.0K
Oct 6 Bought Linda Klimovicova at 55¢
Samsun: Cagla Buyukakcay vs Linda Klimovicova
Samsun: Cagla Buyukakcay vs Linda Klimovicova $1.5K
Oct 6 Bought No at 89¢
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-10-06?
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-10-06? $5.0K
Oct 6 Bought Under at 76¢
Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 3.5
Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 3.5 $3.0K
Oct 6 Bought No at 70¢
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-10-06?
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-10-06? $2.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*) · computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed