Indelible-Dhow
Skill vs luck
Indelible-Dhow on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–49%) · profit −$5.2K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.8% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 1, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Indelible-Dhow: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 1, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xa82b0e89cf734e2fa70cbd52ca65c77d64595220. Data CC BY 4.0.
Indelible-Dhow: −$5.2K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–49%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 3 – Oct 17
- −$4.9K
- Oct 17 – Nov 1
- −$353
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | BUY Yes @ 14¢ | Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? ↗ | $1.4K |
| Oct 26 | SELL Yes @ 76¢ | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? ↗ | $1.1K |
| Oct 24 | SELL Alexander Volkanovski @ 99.9¢ | UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card) ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 16 | BUY No @ 70¢ | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? ↗ | $1.4K |
| Oct 14 | BUY No
@ 69¢
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31? |
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31? | $2.2K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Yes @ 59¢ | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? ↗ | $2.7K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.