Polymarket market · Sports

US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula

Resolved: Aryna Sabalenka won · See it on Polymarket ↗

16 whales put $93K into this market since Sep 10, 82% of their buying on Aryna Sabalenka. Aryna Sabalenka won. Of the 15 whales whose whole position we captured, 10 made +$17K and 5 lost −$14K: +$2.7K between them.

The whales on this market

16 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Trivial-Ravioli
249 settled bets Worse than the odds
Aryna Sabalenka @ 95¢ $37K — +$2.0K
0xa0f2…1848
136 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aryna Sabalenka @ 64¢ $14K — +$7.9K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,484 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aryna Sabalenka @ 67¢ $6.1K — +$3.0K
Glaring-Salt
1,604 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jessica Pegula @ 36¢ $5.9K — −$5.9K
Anchored-Grit
46 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $5.4K —
0x6db5…e279
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jessica Pegula @ 36¢ $4.9K — −$2.8K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aryna Sabalenka @ 69¢ $2.8K — −$275
Quixotic-Brow
128 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jessica Pegula @ 37¢ $2.7K — −$2.7K
Oblong-Ammunition
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Aryna Sabalenka @ 94¢ $2.7K — +$170
Used-Tugboat
42 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Jessica Pegula @ 36¢ $2.3K — −$2.3K
Bouncy-Custom
16 settled bets Too few bets
Aryna Sabalenka @ 64¢ $2.0K — +$1.1K
Low-Stove
5 settled bets Too few bets
Aryna Sabalenka @ 65¢ $2.0K — +$1.1K
Bewitched-Compress
4 settled bets Too few bets
Aryna Sabalenka @ 64¢ $1.2K — +$661
Inborn-Pavilion
19 settled bets Too few bets
Aryna Sabalenka @ 83¢ $1.1K — +$221
Imperturbable-Simvastatin-Pill
6 settled bets Too few bets
Aryna Sabalenka @ 95¢ $1.0K — +$53
0x2560…4d0e
1 settled bets Too few bets
Aryna Sabalenka @ 64¢ $1.0K — +$562

Where the whale money went

  1. Aryna Sabalenka won
    $72K
    82% of whale buying · 12 buyers · $5.4K sold
  2. Jessica Pegula lost
    $9.6K
    11% of whale buying · 4 buyers
  3. Jessica Pegula lost
    $5.9K
    7% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 10 to Sep 11, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners $134K 18 Won: Seattle Mariners
49ers vs. Rams $638K 41 Won: 49ers
US Open WTA: Coco Gauff vs Elena Rybakina $201K 36 Won: Elena Rybakina
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10? $72K 11 Won: Yes
Spread: Rams (-3.5) $64K 12 Won: 49ers
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-10? $55K 9 Won: Yes
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-09-10? $115K 10 Won: No
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-10? $154K 10 Won: Yes
About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed