Inborn-Pavilion
0x3452edc42fd02ddb3f25644d47e9e1cc02f71ba0
Inborn-Pavilion: −$4.2K on 19 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 21% (95% range 9%–43%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$4.2K
return −30.3%
Settled bets
19
$14K staked
Won
21.1%
95% range 9%–43%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$2.0K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$2.2K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19 | SELL FURIA
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner | $2.6K |
| Sep 19 | SELL FURIA
@ 83¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | $3.2K |
| Sep 18 | SELL Vitality
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs |
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | $3.0K |
| Sep 18 | BUY Aurora Gaming
@ 73¢
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | $1.8K |
| Sep 18 | SELL Aurora Gaming
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner | $1.8K |
| Sep 18 | BUY MIBR
@ 73¢
Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR - Map 2 Winner | $2.0K |
| Sep 18 | SELL MIBR
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner | $2.0K |
| Sep 18 | SELL MOUZ
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.