Polymarket market · Sports

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-10?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

10 whales put $154K into this market since Sep 9, 89% of their buying on Yes. Yes won. Of the 9 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$12K and 2 lost −$14K: −$2.0K between them.

The whales on this market

10 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Fake-Bitter
1,081 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 90¢ $52K — +$4.5K
Worrisome-Memory
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 90¢ $37K — +$4.1K
Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,072 settled bets Beat the odds*
Yes @ 91¢ $31K — +$3.0K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 91¢ $15K — −$13K
Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
979 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $9.4K —
Piercing-Strip-Rust
13 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 90¢ $5.3K — +$584
Frozen-Birdwatcher
80 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 99¢ $1.5K — +$16
Elegant-Plugin
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 99.9¢ $1.3K — +$1
Bossy-Airline
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 89¢ $1.3K — +$159
Imperturbable-Counter
95 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 10¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes won
    $129K
    89% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $9.4K sold
  2. Yes lost
    $16K
    11% of whale buying · 3 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 9 to Sep 10, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed