Periodic-Outrigger
Skill vs luck
Periodic-Outrigger on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 100% (95% range 21%–100%) · profit +$1.2K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +1.3% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 29, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Periodic-Outrigger: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 29, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xe091f3c6406242d00ad05c562a700a21dee39549. Data CC BY 4.0.
Periodic-Outrigger: +$1.2K on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 15 – Oct 29
- +$1.2K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 | BUY Yes @ 38¢ | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? ↗ | $10K |
| Oct 28 | BUY Yes @ 32¢ | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? ↗ | $10K |
| Oct 27 | BUY Yes @ 36¢ | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ | $5.0K |
| Oct 27 | BUY Cowboys @ 67¢ | Cowboys vs. Eagles ↗ | $2.5K |
| Oct 24 | BUY Yes
@ 10¢
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? |
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | $1.0K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Yes
@ 47¢
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? |
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | $1.0K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Yes @ 37¢ | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? ↗ | $5.0K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.