Tasty-Gliding-Grasp
Skill vs luck
Tasty-Gliding-Grasp on Polymarket: 4 settled bets · won 75% (95% range 30%–95%) · profit −$613. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −8.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 18, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Tasty-Gliding-Grasp: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 18, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x3cc379741b2ab96d61aab5942a1a711a89f1fb0b. Data CC BY 4.0.
Tasty-Gliding-Grasp: −$613 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 75% (95% range 30%–95%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 3 – Oct 18
- −$613
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | BUY Yes @ 95¢ | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? ↗ | $3.8K |
| Oct 16 | BUY Yes @ 90¢ | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? ↗ | $1.2K |
| Oct 9 | BUY No
@ 89¢
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? |
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | $1.5K |
| Oct 4 | BUY No
@ 91¢
Will Augusto Cury win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Will Augusto Cury win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | $1.9K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Yes @ 34¢ | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? ↗ | $3.1K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?