Polymarket market · Crypto

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

18 whales traded $90K on this market since Oct 1, 88% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 1.1¢ more per share, with 86% of the size there to buy. No won, with 88% of the whale buying on it. Of the 10 whales whose whole position we captured, 8 made +$3.6K and 2 lost −$2.3K: +$1.3K between them. Biggest win: Impressive-Steak, +$2.1K on No. Biggest loss: Apt-Cappuccino, −$1.7K on Yes.

The whales on this market

18 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
0xf705…3ca7
220 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 72¢ $11K $11K —
Impressive-Steak
531 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 90¢ $18K — +$2.1K
Peaceful-Illusion
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99.1¢ $9.9K — +$90
Whopping-Anesthesiology
112 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.1¢ $8.0K — +$72
Apprehensive-Breakdown
125 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 73¢ $3.6K — −$625
Yummy-Ship
7 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.6K —
Married-Keyboarding
3 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.2K —
Kind-Scenery
81 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99¢ $3.0K — +$33
0xe617…f251
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 86¢ $3.0K — +$488
Skinny-Eurocentrism
2 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 82¢ $2.6K — +$576
Slushy-Number
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.3K —
Cheerful-Parade
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.0K —
Excitable-Accelerant
12 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 17¢ $1.0K $1.0K +$4
Apt-Cappuccino
3 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 36¢ $1.7K — −$1.7K
Tattered-Legend
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.6K —
Jumbo-Autumn-Appropriation
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.0K —
Honest-Building
4 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.0K —
Cuddly-Future
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 77¢ $1.0K — +$299

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $55K
    88% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $15K sold
  2. Yes lost
    $7.3K
    12% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $12K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 1 to Oct 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793516413).

More crypto markets the whales bet on

All Crypto →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? $118K 17 Open
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? $51K 14 Won: No
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October? $62K 6 Won: No
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? $64K 13 Won: No
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? $86K 15 Open
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? $76K 8 Won: No
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? $140K 15 Open
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? $63K 11 Won: No
About this data · run 1793516413, computed 2026-11-01 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793516413 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed