Married-Keyboarding
Skill vs luck
Married-Keyboarding on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 33% (95% range 6%–79%) · profit −$518. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.8% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 1, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Married-Keyboarding: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 1, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xf12fb34b04920daadb1e504432aa861db9e9fffb. Data CC BY 4.0.
Married-Keyboarding: −$518 on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 6%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 3 – Oct 17
- −$518
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17 | SELL Up
@ 54¢
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET |
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | $1.0K |
| Oct 17 | BUY Down
@ 29¢
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17? |
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 17? | $2.9K |
| Oct 17 | SELL Yes @ 24¢ | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? ↗ | $3.2K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.