Yummy-Ship

0xab155a20ff29debee4128e9dd1ea6ab8541c46e5

Skill vs luck

Yummy-Ship on Polymarket: 7 settled bets · won 57% (95% range 25%–84%) · profit +$2.3K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.8% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 1, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “Yummy-Ship: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 1, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xab155a20ff29debee4128e9dd1ea6ab8541c46e5. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Yummy-Ship: +$2.3K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 57% (95% range 25%–84%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit

+$2.3K

return +62.2%

Settled bets

$3.7K staked

Won

57.1%

95% range 25%–84%

Mostly bets on

crypto

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period

Oct 17 – Nov 1: +$2.3K

Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.

Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made +3.8% (2,670 positions).

Latest captured bets

When	Bet	Market	Size
Oct 31	BUY Yes @ 74¢ Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 October 26-November 1?	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 October 26-November 1?	$1.0K
Oct 31	SELL No @ 99.7¢ Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 31?	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 31?	$1.9K
Oct 31	SELL Up @ 74¢ Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 31?	$1.2K
Oct 31	SELL Yes @ 91¢ Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 1?	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on November 1?	$1.7K
Oct 31	BUY No @ 97¢ Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 1?	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 1?	$1.0K
Oct 31	BUY No @ 97¢ Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 1?	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 1?	$1.0K
Oct 31	BUY No @ 97¢ Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 1?	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 1?	$1.0K
Oct 31	BUY No @ 97¢ Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 1?	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on November 1?	$1.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1793516413, computed 2026-11-01 07:00 UTC

Source: hopium_compute run 1793516413 (PG metrics_*)

Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
latest window has the most unresolved markets
Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed