Polymarket market · Crypto

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

4 whales traded $59K on this market since Oct 1, 100% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.7¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

In the live feed

Polymarket whale bets
BUY $9.5K
bought No @ 98¢ → now 99¢ (+$15)
Quizzical-Discussion · 10 settled bets · +$1.7K Too few bets

The whales on this market

4 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Frightened-Trouble
7 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 99¢ $45K —
Quizzical-Discussion
10 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 98¢ $9.5K —
Indelible-Roast
12 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 96¢ $2.0K $1.0K
Giant-Surge
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 97¢ $1.9K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $58K
    100% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $1.0K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 1 to Oct 17, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1792220425).

About this data · run 1792220425, computed 2026-10-17 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1792220425 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed