Polymarket market · Crypto

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

14 whales traded $51K on this market since Oct 1, 98% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.2¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. No won, with 98% of the whale buying on it. Of the 11 whales whose whole position we captured, 10 made +$2.6K and 1 lost −$1.0K: +$1.5K between them. Biggest win: Frequent-Cornmeal, +$787 on No. Biggest loss: Rude-Condor, −$1.0K on Yes.

The whales on this market

14 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Frequent-Cornmeal
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 95¢ $15K — +$787
0xf705…3ca7
228 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 97¢ $3.9K $1.1K +$69
Impressive-Steak
548 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 92¢ $4.8K — +$417
Whopping-Anesthesiology
113 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $4.0K —
Blaring-Surge
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 93¢ $1.9K $2.0K +$136
Slow-Endpoint
3 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 86¢ $3.5K — +$577
Ambitious-Cicada
125 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 98¢ $3.2K — +$63
Private-Patrolling
54 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 94¢ $2.8K — +$177
Venerated-Icing
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 92¢ $2.8K — +$240
Shallow-Gang
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.3K —
Obvious-Lanai-Analog
7 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —
Odd-Cannon
136 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.8¢ $1.0K — +$2
Rude-Condor
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 14¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K
Upbeat-Aluminium
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 92¢ $1.0K — +$87

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $40K
    98% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $9.4K sold
  2. Yes lost
    $1.0K
    2% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 1 to Oct 31, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” counts only trades we captured; a dash means part of the position escaped capture. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793602824).

More crypto markets the whales bet on

All Crypto →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? $90K 18 Won: No
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in October? $62K 6 Won: No
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? $64K 13 Won: No
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? $76K 8 Won: No
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? $86K 15 Open
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? $140K 15 Open
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? $63K 11 Won: No
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October? $88K 15 Won: No
About this data · run 1793602824, computed 2026-11-02 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793602824 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed