Polymarket market · Crypto

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

11 whales traded $50K on this market since Oct 2, 96% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 0.5¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

11 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
0xf705…3ca7
193 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 81¢ $16K $13K
Frozen-Antler
59 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 85¢ $5.0K —
Apprehensive-Breakdown
118 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 80¢ $4.8K —
0x5702…c7cc
no settled record
No @ 98¢ $2.3K —
0xdc2e…9704
no settled record
sold only $0 $2.1K
Odd-Cannon
115 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.7¢ $1.4K —
0xfd50…8904
no settled record
Yes @ 53¢ $1.3K —
0x542c…7672
no settled record
No @ 99.4¢ $1.3K —
Capital-Melody-Meatball
11 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K
Quizzical-Discussion
11 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 97¢ $1.0K —
0xd86c…98aa
no settled record
No @ 53¢ $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $33K
    96% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $15K sold
  2. Yes
    $1.3K
    4% of whale buying · 1 buyer · $1.1K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 2 to Oct 30, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793430041).

About this data · run 1793430041, computed 2026-10-31 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793430041 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed