0xf705…3ca7
0xf705fa045201391d9632b7f3cde06a5e24453ca7
Profit
+$35K
return +5.0%
Settled bets
148
$707K staked
Won
63.5%
95% range 56%–71%
Mostly bets on
crypto
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 94 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Aug 20 – Sep 4: +$25K
Sep 4 – Sep 20: +$129
Sep 20 – Oct 5: +$10K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7 | Bought Yes
at 11¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October? | $1.1K |
| Oct 7 | Sold Yes
at 72¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? |
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? | $1.1K |
| Oct 7 | Bought Yes
at 14¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | $1.4K |
| Oct 6 | Bought Yes
at 84¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? |
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? | $3.3K |
| Oct 5 | Sold Yes
at 80¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? |
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? | $1.2K |
| Oct 5 | Bought Yes
at 25¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? |
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? | $2.5K |
| Oct 4 | Bought No
at 88¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? |
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? | $3.5K |
| Oct 4 | Sold No
at 95¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | $2.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.