Shallow-Gang
Skill vs luck
Shallow-Gang on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 50% (95% range 10%–91%) · profit −$35. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 2, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Shallow-Gang: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 2, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x11c55d0d0a04963a8e8a5961feb362a140bb08f7. Data CC BY 4.0.
Shallow-Gang: −$35 on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 10%–91%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 18 – Nov 2
- −$35
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31 | SELL No @ 99.8¢ | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? ↗ | $1.4K |
| Oct 30 | BUY No @ 99.5¢ | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? ↗ | $1.4K |
| Oct 29 | SELL No @ 97¢ | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? ↗ | $1.3K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.