Odd-Cannon

0x6e2c3937e6dd094a3a9f814ecbdc289d3fd5b7f8

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Odd-Cannon: −$3.9K on 88 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 94% (95% range 87%–98%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
−$3.9K
return −0.8%
Settled bets
88
$487K staked
Won
94.3%
95% range 87%–98%
Mostly bets on
crypto

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 85 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$2.1K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$290
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$1.5K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY No @ 99.56¢
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October? $11K
Oct 9 BUY Yes @ 99.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9? $8.4K
Oct 9 BUY No @ 99.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on October 9?
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on October 9? $1.3K
Oct 9 BUY No @ 99.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on October 9?
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on October 9? $1.7K
Oct 9 BUY Yes @ 99.5¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9?
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 9? $18K
Oct 8 BUY No @ 99.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 8?
Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 8? $3.0K
Oct 7 BUY No @ 99.76¢
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on October 7?
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on October 7? $1.2K
Oct 7 BUY No @ 99.6¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 7?
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on October 7? $1.3K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed