Upbeat-Aluminium
Skill vs luck
Upbeat-Aluminium on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 100% (95% range 21%–100%) · profit +$87. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 2, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Upbeat-Aluminium: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 2, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xba0f2eee2024a872b2ba2fa8792bb241d455ce35. Data CC BY 4.0.
Upbeat-Aluminium: +$87 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 3 – Oct 18
- +$87
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15 | BUY No @ 92¢ | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? ↗ | $1.0K |
All 1 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.