Polymarket market · Crypto

Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in October?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

12 whales traded $72K on this market since Oct 24, 86% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 1.9¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

12 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
0xf705…3ca7
186 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 64¢ $22K $17K
Impressive-Steak
503 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 43¢ $9.5K —
Rigid-Armor
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 94¢ $5.0K —
Silver-Accordion
6 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 95¢ $3.1K —
Honest-Building
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.6K
Impish-Revenge
6 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 45¢ $2.6K —
Wilted-Brace
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 66¢ $2.5K —
Monstrous-Dew
509 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.1K
0xb7f5…7738
no settled record
sold only $0 $2.1K
Light-Owl-Consumption
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 58¢ $1.9K —
Excitable-Accelerant
6 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K
Agile-Chatter
20 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 11¢ $1.1K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $41K
    86% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $20K sold
  2. Yes
    $6.7K
    14% of whale buying · 3 buyers · $4.3K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 24 to Oct 30, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1793343609).

More crypto markets the whales bet on

All Crypto →
About this data · run 1793343609, computed 2026-10-30 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1793343609 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed