Venerated-Icing

0x9bbf8abf929eddbb4da10535cf4c02db33f4c59f

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Venerated-Icing: +$700 on 14 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 27%–73%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$700
return +2.0%
Settled bets
14
$35K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 27%–73%
Mostly bets on
crypto

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 7 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$125
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$256
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$320
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 8 BUY No @ 97¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October?
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 in October? $1.9K
Sep 25 SELL No @ 99¢
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September?
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September? $1.7K
Sep 24 BUY No @ 98¢
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September? $2.9K
Sep 24 BUY No @ 98¢
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September? $2.9K
Sep 24 BUY No @ 98¢
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September? $2.9K
Sep 24 BUY No @ 98¢
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September? $2.9K
Sep 24 BUY No @ 98¢
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September? $2.9K
Sep 24 BUY No @ 98¢
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September? $2.9K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed