Private-Patrolling

0x7789957157a13aa3610e26d61ef8f99317b7a280

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Private-Patrolling: +$1.3K on 40 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 91%–100%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$1.3K
return +0.6%
Settled bets
40
$206K staked
Won
100.0%
95% range 91%–100%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 40 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$369
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$754
Sep 20 – Oct 5
+$194
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY No @ 97¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 5-11?
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 5-11? $1.6K
Oct 7 BUY No @ 99.9¢
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? $14K
Oct 7 BUY Yes @ 99.69¢
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? $1.3K
Oct 7 BUY No @ 99.3¢
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026? $4.7K
Oct 7 BUY No @ 98¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 5-11?
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 5-11? $1.1K
Oct 7 BUY No @ 98¢
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 5-11?
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 5-11? $1.1K
Oct 3 BUY No @ 99.6¢
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? $1.9K
Oct 2 BUY No @ 99.3¢
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 September 28-October 4?
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 September 28-October 4? $1.7K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed