Rude-Condor
Skill vs luck
Rude-Condor on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 0% (95% range 0%–66%) · profit −$3.5K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 2, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Rude-Condor: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 2, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xa6135050611fcc6f8c56797e115c7f60ff301bf9. Data CC BY 4.0.
Rude-Condor: −$3.5K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Sep 18 – Oct 3
- −$3.5K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1 | BUY Yes @ 14¢ | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October? ↗ | $1.0K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Yes
@ 25¢
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October? |
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in October? | $2.5K |
| Oct 1 | BUY Yes @ 37¢ | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? ↗ | $1.3K |
All 3 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.