Obvious-Lanai-Analog
0x74f3c9811ed471c285453765983a002bf177ab34
Obvious-Lanai-Analog: +$92 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$92
return +2.3%
Settled bets
4
$4.0K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 15%–85%
Mostly bets on
crypto
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 3 – Sep 18
- −$2
- Sep 18 – Oct 2
- +$30
- Oct 2 – Oct 17
- +$64
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.7%
(2,007 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16 | SELL Yes @ 38¢ | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? ↗ | $2.4K |
| Oct 8 | BUY No
@ 94¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8? | $1.0K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Yes @ 84¢ | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? ↗ | $5.0K |
| Oct 5 | BUY Yes @ 84¢ | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? ↗ | $2.0K |
| Sep 25 | BUY No
@ 99¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 25? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 25? | $3.0K |
| Sep 16 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 16? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 16? | $1.1K |
| Sep 16 | SELL No
@ 99.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 16? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 16? | $1.0K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.