Polymarket market · Crypto

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?

Open as of the last daily run · See it on Polymarket ↗

21 whales put $113K into this market since Aug 20, 62% of their buying on No. It hadn't resolved as of the last daily run.

The whales on this market

21 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold
Well-To-Do-Code
10 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 73¢ $35K —
0x96e8…bf9f
no settled record
Yes @ 18¢ $11K —
0xf705…3ca7
151 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 27¢ $2.7K $7.2K
0x216b…d8a5
no settled record
Yes @ 26¢ $8.0K —
0x6dc4…6770
no settled record
No @ 64¢ $6.2K —
Similar-Format
5 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 31¢ $5.0K $1.0K
Cloudy-Leaker
32 settled bets Worse than the odds
sold only $0 $4.8K
Accurate-Faith
1 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 64¢ $4.6K —
0xd9ae…4081
no settled record
No @ 88¢ $4.3K —
0x1b1c…31f5
no settled record
sold only $0 $2.8K
Blaring-Surge
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.8K
0xbd31…97a4
no settled record
No @ 67¢ $2.8K —
Fresh-Cinema
4 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 89¢ $2.6K —
0x4be7…1115
no settled record
Yes @ 39¢ $2.0K —
Embellished-Observatory
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 86¢ $2.0K —
Rewarding-Brownie
2 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 36¢ $1.8K —
0x2de1…dbc5
no settled record
Yes @ 32¢ $1.5K —
Apprehensive-Breakdown
104 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 62¢ $1.3K —
0x939c…ad45
no settled record
Yes @ 35¢ $1.3K —
0x98dc…9949
no settled record
sold only $0 $1.1K
Indelible-Roast
12 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 88¢ $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No
    $58K
    62% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $14K sold
  2. Yes
    $34K
    36% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $5.9K sold
  3. No
    $1.2K
    1% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 20 to Oct 3, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed