Intrepid-Holder
0x4f315c1f2fcfbcbccc31fa28ae086babf309efa3
Intrepid-Holder: +$1.8K on 18 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 61% (95% range 39%–80%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$1.8K
return +3.6%
Settled bets
18
$52K staked
Won
61.1%
95% range 39%–80%
Mostly bets on
crypto
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$818
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$1.2K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$161
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY No
@ 95¢
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? | $4.8K |
| Oct 1 | BUY No
@ 95¢
Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026? |
Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026? | $1.1K |
| Sep 29 | SELL No
@ 99.8¢
Will Solana reach $170 in September? |
Will Solana reach $170 in September? | $2.0K |
| Sep 28 | BUY No
@ 94¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | $4.8K |
| Sep 24 | SELL No
@ 95¢
Will XRP hit $2 by September 30, 2026? |
Will XRP hit $2 by September 30, 2026? | $2.0K |
| Sep 24 | BUY No
@ 93¢
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | $4.7K |
| Sep 24 | BUY No
@ 93¢
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? |
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | $4.8K |
| Sep 24 | BUY No
@ 93¢
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? |
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | $4.8K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.